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Tom welcomes back experienced investment professional David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors.
Talking Points From This Episode
– Parabolic melt-up into a secular top followed by an 80% bear market
– Global deflationary bust followed by an inflationary recovery cycle
– Dollar weakness now followed by big dollar rally during the bust
– Gold & silver emerging from 8 month consolidations with big upside directly ahead
– Oil to low $50s before a rally to $75 this summer and then falling to $10 in the bust
– Will see a huge commodity cycle following the bust
Time Stamp References:
0:00 – Introduction
0:40 – Surprises Last Year
2:30 – Q2 – Melt Up
5:48 – Bear Market Coming
8:00 – Leverage/Derivatives
9:31 – Dis-inflation
15:00 – Stagflation?
18:23 – Yield Curve Control
21:18 – Interest Rate Sensitivity
22:23 – Dollar Outlook
24:27 – Bust Timelines
26:45 – Bust & Metals/Miners
29:04 – Rates & Gold Price
31:55 – Biggest Bubbles
34:12 – Supercycles & Commodities
39:00 – Oil in the Next Cycle
41:02 – Currencies & Resets
44:57 – Investor Psychology
47:15 – Fundamentals & Sentiment
50:42 – 2nd Quarter Targets
53:36 – Concluding Thoughts
Guest Links
Email: [email protected]
Twitter:
David is Chief Macro Strategist with Contrarian Macro Advisors. He is an investment professional with 25 years of investment management experience and 21 years as a sell-side strategist with robust macroeconomic analysis and portfolio management expertise. His strong macro capabilities, combined with a contrarian philosophy, have allowed him to forecast economic cycles and spot market trends well ahead of the consensus. Intellectually honest, independent thinker comfortable with charting a course apart from the crowd.
#DavidHunter #Gold #Silver #Oil #Commodites #Inflation #Deflation #Bust .
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David Hunter: Leverage will Create the Largest Global Financial Crisis in History
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David Hunter: Leverage will Create the Largest Global Financial Crisis in History
a financial history of the world
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Gold is a total turd, forget Gold….even if you own it during a depression govt will get it or your best mate will shoot you in back for your stash when hes desperate….
What does it mean that he wasn't accurate on currencies?
David Hunter is spot on. I'm watching the 4 months later. The market is hitting all his marks, and it's a matter of time before the correction. Cash is king.
if u want to lose your credibility put a date on somethinh
no…they make trillions and then collaspe the system leaving the little people wondering what happened
venturing into the trading world without the help of a proffesionl trader and expecting profit is like turing water into wine,
you would need a miracle, thats why i trade with Mrs sylvia her skills set exceptional
Thanks to grandpa Joe everything reeks inflation, good thing is people are getting to know cash/fiat is pretty much stone age at this point, it is designated to fail eventually, 3 BEST and surprisingly easy ways to double or hold your funds in 2021; Real Estate, Gold, Who can guess the 3rd??
Thank you!
I think that vaccines will spawn the parabolic frenzy and that this must precede the bust.
Hm.. considering my lifestyle and infrastructure needs… also culturally suitable for me… also with a natural border (border will become very important when global economy crumbles… trust me..) I am looking into currently..
1. Japan
2. UK
3. New Zealand…
Hopefully I will accumulate enough silver to finance my move to one of these nations.
$50 oil – WRONG, it's $70 and climbing. This guy made one correct prediction in 40 years.
if he so right on stuff why is he not a billionaire …such a weirdo
David Hunter has got the easiest job on this planet. Come up with unreal targets. Say economy will top in 3rd quarter or 4th quarter then push statement like "may be next year". By the time 3rd or 4th quarter happens, Hunter will say "may be 2nd or 3rd quarter next year and may be it will move in 2023".
I'd like to be a macro-economy contrarion also. Feels like a very easy job to chat and project unreal numbers and say "hell is coming folks".
There is no difference between Harry Dent and David Hunter. Both are really good at bullshitting.
He is dead wrong about the Canadian housing market when he says we are like 2008/9. Our banks do not give mortgages to anyone. In fact given low supply, the banks are probably skimming off the top and giving mortgages to only the highest qualified applicants. The Canadian housing market is in trouble, will crash, but we are not in 2008/9. There are other reasons.
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Jeez that guy has Huge balls, not beeing afraid of stating precise price targets…
David Hunter has absolutely no idea what is he talking about.
He predicts Nasdaq to 14k. When he sees it coming he pushes his targets to 17k then he says I am being conservative with my targets.
It seems like he has the easiest job in the world. Come with a target and keep kicking the can down the road.
Hey I want to be a contrarion too.
Market is not going to unwind more than 20% because FED won't allow it.
No, the real inflation story is now. Itโs going to be a forest fire by July.
hi
Funnily I'm long US Dollar now and see DXY 90 is the bottom.
We will see.
Every ounce counts!
Entertaining. Is the over-leverage out there enough for the crash he predicts? Most over-valued market in history, but the craziness could keep it going. How: Wall Street and the Fed have seen what these crashes do to their accounts and will do anything to avoid them. Can they? Minsky said no, there is no escape from what is becoming ubiquitous: Ponzi Finance.
How on Earth could the commodities mentioned even go 2X without this causing across the board commodities inflation, markets crashing, and then depression? I think this is all going to happen in the next 2-3 years, if not sooner. China knows the time for them to make moves is now. They are going to dump the dollar and crash our markets. I donโt want WWIII, but maybe there will be some silver lining. Unfortunately, the corruption in banking will likely persist… But then again, if they and the government donโt start treating Americans with more respect, they could very โeasilyโ lose control as people stand up for their rights. If the disenfranchised middle class loses their pensions and 401ks…
I think PM will get hit almost as much as equities because a lot of people hedge equities with PM.
Excellent interview, I watched it twice.
It's hard to make predictions especially about the future..
Fed's printing press will never allow market to drop 60%. They will be buying stocks straight with trillions, there is no free market anymore
I agree with most of it except his upside (too high) before we get the bust.
Everyone has opinions, this guy has many
So short term inflation, followed by mid term deflation, then long term inflation?
Please tell us why your head is orange. Hope you are ok.
If every other company is manypulating their stocks ie stock buy backs to make them boom and bankers such as JP Morgan Manipulating Metals to the way down I believe these Metal minners need to grow the fvck up! And need to start playing dirty not nice by charging real value! This value is easy gotten from the world money printing calculator.
This is so ridiculously Stupid! To have people believing that metal prices are down becuse cryto has entered the space however thos could just be another tool to keep metal prices down again.
They're saying there's going to be 70% crash however until then 100,200,300%…. markets increased till then.
Just like saying eventually you can get in a car accident so you must get insurance obviously.
What indicators do does david watch?
80% correction ? S&P at 1000 ? Is he okay ?
As always – top level interview! David Hunter sees reality solid and with strong experience to back it all up. Thankfull for sharing of the insights allowing the rest of us an opportunity to trim the sails in time… Thanks!
Since watching this when first aired, the $ and 10 yr treasury are up and PM's and miners continue to get smashed, I hope this turns around soon as it's starting to feel like a set-up !! I've chosen to go with David's forecast so I've gotta hold my nerve and be patient !
Good luck to all in the same boat!
yes it will be worldwide. It will be devastating.
The time of human governance is over. Humans fail.
Always listen to David Hunter !
Anyone who doesn't understand it's a PLAN-demic…is not worth listening to.
Nice video!! Very engaging from beginning to end. Nevertheless, businesses and investment are the easiest way to make money irrespective of which party makes it to the oval office.
I hope the bust spews all over this Fraudministration
Interesting worldview. Solid delivery.
Concerned that pumping more liquidity of currency that has been over printed wont bring hyper inflation and thus extending the crisis. Not sure I buy this will go quickly….